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US Floats Russian Gas Revival as Part of Proposed Ukraine Peace Deal

The reported plan could reshape Europe’s energy market while creating major political and commercial stakes for Washington and US gas exporters.

E
Editorial Team
October 18, 2026 · 4:19 AM · 3 min read
Photo: Deutsche Welle

US envoys have proposed that Europe resume large-scale purchases of Russian pipeline gas as a central economic component of a potential agreement to end the war in Ukraine, according to The New York Times.

Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, special envoys for President Donald Trump, reportedly raised the initiative during negotiations with Ukrainian and European Union representatives. The proposal was also discussed with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky during a September meeting in Kyiv.

Under Washington’s reported approach, restoring substantial Russian gas deliveries to Europe would offer Moscow an economic incentive to stop the war. For the Trump administration, the idea reflects an effort to place commercial arrangements at the center of peace diplomacy. It would also carry significant consequences for US energy companies, which expanded their role in Europe as the continent reduced its dependence on Russian supplies.

US Energy Interests Face a Potential Realignment

A return of Russian pipeline gas could put pressure on American liquefied natural gas suppliers competing in the European market. Russian pipeline deliveries historically provided Europe with large volumes of relatively direct supply, while US LNG must be shipped across the Atlantic and processed through import terminals.

The proposal could therefore create tension between Washington’s diplomatic objectives and the commercial interests of US gas producers and exporters. If Russian volumes returned at scale, European buyers could gain another supply option, potentially affecting demand, contract negotiations and pricing conditions for American companies. The source report, however, provided no estimates for prospective Russian shipments or their potential market impact.

European officials reacted skeptically to the initiative. Günter Sautter, German Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s closest security adviser, was among its sharpest critics, according to the report. Some European and Ukrainian officials also expect the United States to seek a stake in Russian gas exports, although no structure, ownership terms or financial details were disclosed.

Such expectations point to a broader question for Washington: whether the administration views energy flows only as leverage in negotiations or also as a potential commercial opportunity for US interests. Any American participation in Russian exports would face intense scrutiny over sanctions, national security and the distribution of benefits from a peace settlement.

Nord Stream Discussions Add Political Risk

US representatives also discussed restarting Nord Stream with Russian counterparts, according to the newspaper’s sources. The pipeline system linking Russia and Germany across the Baltic Sea has not operated since August 2022 and was subsequently damaged by explosions.

Reuters reported in early October, citing five sources, that such discussions had taken place. One source cited by The New York Times said the Trump administration considered restoring Nord Stream operations an “easy task” if a peace agreement were reached.

The White House denied that Nord Stream had been discussed. It nevertheless stressed that Europe would have a decisive role in any arrangement.

“Any agreement concerning this issue would require close coordination with our European partners as part of a comprehensive peace agreement,” the administration said.

That qualification highlights the limits of unilateral US action. European governments control critical regulatory, infrastructure and sanctions decisions, while the EU has already adopted a policy moving in the opposite direction.

EU Phaseout Policy Complicates the Proposal

In January 2026, the European Union agreed to eliminate Russian pipeline gas and LNG entirely by November 1, 2027. The legislation also prohibits new gas contracts with Russia. Reviving large-scale purchases would therefore require a substantial political reversal or a legal mechanism reconciling the peace proposal with the bloc’s existing rules.

Europe has sharply reduced Russian gas imports since Russia began its full-scale war against Ukraine in February 2022. Russian gas accounted for 45% of EU imports in 2021, falling to about 19% in 2024 and 13% in 2025.

That shift helped open a larger European market for alternative suppliers, including US LNG exporters. A reversal could alter investment assumptions for American terminals, shipping arrangements and long-term supply contracts. It could also revive concerns in Congress that renewed European dependence on Russian energy would restore Moscow’s economic leverage over US allies.

Ukraine presents another financial and political complication. Kyiv stopped the transit of Russian pipeline gas to Europe on January 1, 2025, after declining to renew an expired contract with Gazprom. The decision costs Ukraine about €900 million annually in lost transit fees, according to the newspaper.

Washington must consequently balance several competing goals: securing Russian participation in a settlement, retaining Ukrainian and European support, and protecting the credibility of Western energy and sanctions policies. For US businesses, the bottom-line impact would depend on whether restored Russian supplies displaced American LNG, whether US companies obtained a role in the trade, and how any peace agreement changed sanctions and investment rules.

Written by

The newsroom team.

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